国际航协：2020年全球石油价格或相对较低

    中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网12月12日新德里报道，油价对印度航空公司产生了巨大影响，因为航空涡轮燃料（ATF）占据了印度一家航空承运人总收入的40％左右。

    国际航空运输协会(IATA)首席经济学家布莱恩·皮尔斯(BrianPearce)在此发表了一份经济展望表示，未来12个月，油价似乎将保持相对较低的水平。供应，特别是非欧佩克的供应充足，需求疲软。

    经济展望补充道，分析师预计，明年初石油库存将因此增加。这可能会使油价保持稳定，我们对2020年的假设是，布伦特原油的平均价格为每桶63美元。

    根据国际航空运输协会（IATA）周三发布的预测，到2020年，航空公司的燃油费用将下降至1820亿美元，占平均运营成本的22.1％。

    2019年，世界航空业的燃油支出为1800亿美元，占平均运营成本的23.5％。

    到2020年，世界航空业将消耗3710亿升燃油，高于2019年的3590亿升。

    IATA对2020年的经济展望表示，燃油如此之大的费用，以致于该行业集中精力进行努力，以提高燃油效率，方法是用新飞机替换机队，改善运营，并努力说服政府消除浪费了大约5％燃油的空域和机场效率低下的问题。

    根据IATA的预测，随着新飞机交付量的增加，到2020年，燃油效率-按容量使用（可用吨公里）计算将提高2.1％。

    郝芬 译自 能源世界网

    原文如下：

    Global oil prices set to be relatively low in 2020: IATA

    Oil prices have a massive affect on Indian airlines, as Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) takes around 40 per cent of the total revenues of an air carrier in India.

    "Oil prices look set to stay relatively low over the next 12 months. Supply, particularly non-OPEC, is plentiful and demand is weak," said an economic outlook presented here by Brian Pearce, Chief Economist, International Air Transport Association (IATA).

    "Analysts expect oil inventories to rise early next year as a result. This is likely to keep oil prices stable and our assumption for 2020 is an average price for Brent Crude of USD 63 per barrel," the economic outlook added.

    As per the IATA forecast released on Wednesday here, the airlines fuel bill will decline in 2020 to USD 182 billion, which will represent 22.1 per cent of average operating costs.

    In 2019, the fuel spend of the world airline industry was USD 180 billion, which was 23.5 per cent of average operating costs.

    In 2020, the world airline industry would consume 371 billion litres of fuel, up from 359 billion litres that was used in 2019.

    "Fuel us such a large cost that it focuses intense effort in the industry to improve fuel efficiency, through replacing fleet with new aircraft, better operations and efforts to persuade governments to remove the airspace and airport inefficiencies that waste around 5 per cent of fuel burn each year," said IATA's economic outlook for 2020.

    According to the IATA forecast, the fuel efficiency - in terms of capacity use (available tonnes kilometres) - will improve by 2.1 per cent in 2020 as deliveries of new aircraft grow.