明年全球石油上游板块投资总额将下降4%

中国石化新闻网讯 据12月13日Rigzone报道，根据Rystad Energy的最新预测，到2020年，全球石油行业上游板块投资总额将减少约4%。

该公司指出，明年页岩油/致密油的投资预计将缩水近12%。Rystad Energy表示，油价下跌和现金流走弱将迫使页岩油公司减少投资活动。

油砂和海上大陆架项目投资预计将分别下降3.8%、5.7%和4%。Rystad Energy透露，深水钻井项目是明年唯一有望增长的领域。

该公司表示，预计到2020年，只有非洲、俄罗斯和南美的投资将增长或持平。Rystad能源公司表示，莫桑比克、毛里塔尼亚将推动非洲的经济增长率达到全球最高的11%。

此前，Rystad Energy宣布仍需要大量勘探和生产支出，但同时警告称，需要油价高于每桶60美元才能实现盈亏平衡，且未来可能会面临非商业性的风险。

洪伟立 摘译自 Rigzone

原文如下：

Global Upstream Investment to Dip in 2020

Overall global upstream investments will decrease by around four percent in 2020, according to the latest forecast by Rystad Energy.

The company noted that investments in shale/tight oil are expected to contract the most next year by almost 12 percent. Rystad Energy said it believes the lower oil price and weaker cash flows will force shale companies to reduce activity.

“Other onshore”, oil sands and offshore shelf is forecasted to dip by 3.8 percent, 5.7 percent and four percent, respectively. Deepwater is the only segment expected to grow next year, Rystad Energy revealed.

According to the company, only Africa, Russia and South America are expected to see growth or flat development in investments in 2020. Mozambique and Mauritania will push Africa’s growth to the highest worldwide at 11 percent, Rystad Energy outlined.

Earlier this week, Rystad Energy announced that big exploration and production spending is still needed but warned that projects that need oil prices above $60 per barrel in order to break even risk being uncommercial going forward.