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| 2019-12-18 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据全球石油新闻2019年12月17日莫斯科报道，俄罗斯第2大石油生产商卢克石油公司（Lukoil）预测，如果全球能源需求显著增加，俄罗斯的原油和凝析油年产量2035年前将超过6亿吨或大约1200万桶/天。 卢克石油公司在周二发布的一份关于全球液态烃市场到2035年主要趋势的报告中称，俄罗斯可能主要通过提高原油采收率和开发致密油储量来提高产量。 卢克石油公司为俄罗斯2035年之前石油行业的发展建立了三种情景模型。如果在能源转型方面取得进展，卢克石油公司估计俄罗斯届时原油和凝析油年产量可能降至略高于5亿吨。与此同时，卢克石油公司表示，积极的气候政策将使俄罗斯原油和凝析油年产量降至4亿吨以下。 俄罗斯今年的石油年产量预计约为5.6亿吨，相当于每天1125万桶。 李峻 编译自 全球石油新闻 原文如下： Russian oil output could rise to over 12 mil b/d by 2035: Lukoil Russian oil producer Lukoil forecasts Russian crude and condensate production could rise to over 600 million mt/year, or around 12 million b/d, by 2035 if there is a significant increase in global access to energy. Russia could increase output primarily through higher oil recovery rates and development of tight oil reserves, the company said in a report on major trends in the global liquid hydrocarbon market to 2035 released Tuesday. The company modeled three scenarios for the sector's development up to 2035. If progress were to be made on the energy transition, the company estimates crude and condensate output could fall to just above 500 million mt/year. Meanwhile introduction of aggressive climate policies would see production drop below 400 million mt/year, the company said. Russian oil production in 2019 is expected to be around 560 million mt, equivalent to 11.25 million b/d. |
