“欧佩克+”计划扩大减产来推动油价上涨

中国石化新闻网讯 据2月5日彭博社报道，沙特阿拉伯推动进一步减产，但俄罗斯对此持谨慎态度，油价从一年低点上涨至每桶50美元，纽约期货价格上涨。

作为一项技术指标，原油在供应充足和需求下滑的情况下，自1月初以来下跌超过20%，表明原油超卖。沙特阿拉伯计划采取进一步减产措施，但因俄罗斯的预算对价格下跌更有弹性，减产计划为得到俄罗斯的支持。

英国石油公司(BP Plc)预计，这场危机将使今年全球三分之一石油需求增长付诸东流，不过欧佩克的内部分析显示，未来6个月的时间里，石油日产量将小幅下降约40万桶。美国一份行业报告显示，原油库存增加，这加剧了人们对消费疲软的担忧。

Vanda Insights驻新加坡的创始人凡达纳?哈里(Vandana Hari)表示:“尽管油价在经历一轮抛售后有所上涨，但由于市场对需求的担忧，原油价格可能会继续下跌，或者欧佩克+实施减产。等待对欧佩克及其盟国来说代价高昂。”

截至伦敦时间上午7点53分，纽约商品交易所3月份交割的西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨17美分，至每桶49.78美元，涨幅为0.3%。周二，该合约价格下跌50美分，至49.61美元/桶，为2019年1月以来的最低水平。

伦敦洲际交易所4月份结算的布伦特原油价格上涨0.4%，至每桶54.20美元。同月，全球基准原油对WTI的溢价为4.23美元。

据欧佩克的一些代表表示，沙特阿拉伯正在争取将日产量削减至少50万桶，甚至是两倍数。该组织的技术专家将于周三再次开会，分析危机对石油需求的影响，这可能有助于确定该组织是否会在本月晚些时候召开紧急部长级会议。

邹勤 摘译自 彭博社

原文如下：

Oil Up With OPEC+ Split on Cuts

Oil increased from a one-year low toward $50 a barrel even as Saudi Arabia ran into Russian resistance in its push for further production cuts to combat a virus-driven demand decline.

Futures rose in New York as a technical indicator signaled crude is oversold after falling more than 20% since early January amid plentiful supplies and slumping demand. Saudi Arabia’s push for deeper output reductions to combat the drop in consumption due to the coronavirus outbreak is being received with caution by Russia, whose budget is more resilient to lower prices.

BP Plc is forecasting the crisis will wipe out one-third of global oil demand growth this year, although OPEC’s internal analysis indicates a modest drop of around 400,000 barrels a day for about six months. In the U.S., an industry report showed an expansion in crude stockpiles, adding to worries about weak consumption.

“While prices are rising today after a sell-off, crude is likely to continue tumbling on demand fears ,” said Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights in Singapore. “Waiting might prove costly for OPEC and its allies.”

West Texas Intermediate for March delivery added 17 cents, or 0.3%, to $49.78 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 7:53 a.m. in London. The contract fell 50 cents to $49.61 on Tuesday, the lowest since January 2019.

Brent for April settlement rose 0.4% to $54.20 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $4.23 to WTI for the same month.

Saudi Arabia is pushing for a production cut of at least 500,000 barrels a day and even up to twice that amount, according to some OPEC+ delegates. Technical experts from the group will meet again on Wednesday to analyze the impact of the crisis on oil demand that may help determine whether the alliance convenes an urgent ministerial meeting later this month.