非洲最大石油国产量可能下降35%

中国石化新闻网讯 据今日油价网站2月13日消息 咨询公司伍德麦肯兹周四向路透社表示，未来10年尼日利亚石油产量可能下降35%，因油价低迷下的监管不确定性和成本可能促使石油巨头推迟对三大深水项目的最终投资决定。

欧佩克成员国尼日利亚是非洲最大的产油国，根据欧佩克本周公布的月度报告，该国在2020年1月的日产油量为177.6万桶，加上凝析油产量，尼日利亚石油总产量超过200万桶/日。

然而，根据伍德麦肯兹在周五出版之前与路透社分享的研究报告，由石油巨头埃克森美孚、壳牌和道达尔运营的尼日利亚近海三个深水项目的开工日期可能会推迟2-4年，至2020年末。

据伍德麦肯兹称，尼日利亚石油行业的监管改革，以及经过20年的拖延和争论，仍有待最终批准的石油法案，对石油巨头的投资决策起到了威慑作用。

此外，该咨询公司指出，这三个深水项目在布伦特原油价格低于60美元/桶的情况下，以目前的油价计算无法盈利，这三个项目可能会使尼日利亚的产量增加30万桶/日。

王磊 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下：

Africa’s Largest Oil Nation Could See Production Drop 35%

Nigeria’s oil production could drop by 35 percent in the next ten years as regulatory uncertainty and costs amid languishing oil prices may prompt oil majors to postpone final investment decisions on three major deepwater projects, consultancy Wood Mackenzie told Reuters on Thursday.

OPEC member Nigeria is the largest oil producer in Africa and it pumped 1.776 million barrels of oil per day (bpd) in January 2020, according to OPEC’s secondary sources in its monthly report published this week. Adding condensate production, Nigeria’s total oil output exceeds 2 million bpd.

However, three deepwater projects offshore Nigeria, operated by oil majors Exxon, Shell, and Total, could see their start-up dates delayed by two to four years to the late 2020s, according to the research WoodMac shared with Reuters ahead of publishing it on Friday.

The regulatory changes in Nigeria’s oil industry and the still pending final approval of a petroleum bill - after two decades of delays and wrangling - act as deterrents to the oil majors’ investment decisions, according to Wood Mackenzie.

Moreover, the three deepwater projects - which could add a combined 300,000 bpd to Nigeria’s production - are not profitable at current oil prices with Brent Crude below $60 a barrel, the consultancy noted.