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| 2020-03-02 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据2月29日Trend报道，英国著名的经济研究咨询公司凯投宏观（Capital Economic）称，油价上周继续回暖，不过布伦特原油价格仍较一个月前下跌10%。 该公司表示：“预计未来几周油价将继续受到当前国际形势的影响。而欧佩克+可能会在3月初的会议上再讨论产量政策。目前，俄罗斯似乎还在延缓进一步减产的步伐。如果欧佩克决定维持目前的产量配额不变，我们预计油价将大幅下跌。” 凯投宏观发布这份的报告称，天气状况成为本周天然气市场关注的焦点，美国天然气(Henry Hub)价格受益于美国天气转冷的预测。尽管由于供应充足，今年所有地区(美国、欧盟等)的平均天然气价格将走低，但预计Henry Hub的表现会相对好一些。美国出口的强劲增长和美国生产的放缓，应该会对价格提供一定的支撑。 洪伟立 摘译自 Trend 原文如下： Oil prices to fall sharply if OPEC leaves quotas unchanged Oil prices continued to recoup lost ground over the last week, although the price of Brent is still 10 percent lower than a month ago, Trend reports citing Capital Economic, UK-based research and consulting company. "Prices are largely being driven by virus-related news, which we expect to remain the case over the next few weeks. It appears that OPEC+ is going to wait until its scheduled meeting in early March to discuss output policy. For now, Russia seems to be dragging its heels on deeper cuts. If OPEC+ decides to leave current production quotas unchanged, we would expect the oil price to fall sharply," said the company. Elsewhere, the weather took centre stage in natural gas markets this week, with the price of US natural gas (Henry Hub) benefitting from forecasts of colder US weather, reads the report released by Capital Economics. "Although we think that all the regional gas prices (US, EU & Asia) will be lower on average this year owing to abundant supply, we expect Henry Hub to be a relative outperformer. Strong growth in US exports and slower growth in US production should offer some support to prices," said the company. In general, as Capital Economics said, industrial commodity prices trod water this week as investors struggled to assess the extent of the economic fallout from COVID-19. |
