圭亚那将成为新的全球石油大国

中国石化新闻网讯 据油气新闻3月9日消息称，圭亚那作为世界上最新的主要石油生产国处于独特的地位。其它依赖石油和天然气的产油国正在考虑能源转型对其经济构成的威胁。

圭亚那的石油刚刚开始商业化，有望改变该国的财富。

圭亚那的油田是巨大的。埃克森美孚及其合作伙伴赫斯和中海油于今年早些时候将黄金斯塔布鲁克区块的储量提高了25%。我们的分析模型显示大约60亿桶石油。首次生产是在2019年12月完成的，仅仅是在最初发现的5年后。到2028年，这一分阶段的开发将使日产量超过110万桶，圭亚那将成为石油历史上第11个达到百万桶/天里程碑的国家。

这些石油大多是轻质油，满足了市场对相对低碳强度液体日益增长的需求。

巨大的油田将为这个仅有80万人口的国家带来无数的财富。随着产量的增加，圭亚那将崛起为石油大国。人均产量甚至将超过中东主要产油国——科威特、阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯。

该国的经济将发生转变。在此十年中，该项目的年度资本支出平均每年将达到40亿美元，相当于2019年的国内生产总值。大部分资金将用于圭亚那以外的生产设备，但相当大的投资将流入陆上和海上的基础设施，以支持不断发展的石油工业。

曹海斌 摘译自 油气新闻

原文如下：

Guyana: Global Oil’s New King Of The Heap

Guyana is in a unique position as the world’s newest major oil producer. Other oil- and gas-dependent producers are contemplating the threat posed by the energy transition to their economy.

Guyana’s oil, only just being commercialized, promises to transform the nation’s wealth.

Guyana’s oil fields are prodigious. ExxonMobil and its partners, Hess and CNOOC Ltd, upgraded reserves on the golden Stabroek block by 25% earlier this year. Our analysis models almost 6 billion barrels of oil. First production was achieved in December 2019, only five years after the initial discovery. The phased development will lift output to over 1.1 million barrels per day (b/d) by 2028, and Guyana will become just the 11th nation in oil’s history to reach the million b/d milestone.

These barrels are mostly light, meeting the market’s increasing need for relatively low-carbon-intensity liquids.

The giant oil fields will deliver untold riches to this nation of only 800,000 people. Guyana will, as output builds, rise to be king of the heap. Production per capita will eclipse even that of the leading Middle East producers, Kuwait, UAE and Saudi Arabia.

The country’s economy will be transformed. Annual capital expenditure on the project will average U.S.$4 billion a year this decade – the same as 2019 GDP. Much will be spent on production equipment outside Guyana, but considerable investment will flow into infrastructure onshore and offshore to support the growing oil industry.