石油产量过剩或将迫使原油价格更低

中国石化新闻网讯 据今日油价3月16日报道，根据彭博社援引IHS Markit的话称，石油市场正走向今年上半年有史以来最大的原油过剩，这可能是迄今为止记录的最大剩余的2倍至近4倍。

根据IHS Markit的数据显示，今年上半年的过剩可能达到8亿桶至惊人的13亿桶，是2015年底至2016年初之前最大的过剩3.6亿桶的两倍多，几乎是四倍。

由于疫情导致石油需求下降以及前盟国沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯正在为市场份额进行全面的价格战，承诺向市场注入更多的石油，导致了有史以来最大的供过于求。

正如彭博社援引IHS Markit副总裁兼石油市场主管吉姆·伯克哈德（Jim Burkhard)的话表示，上一次出现如此大规模的全球盈余从未如此。在此之前，本世纪全球六个月最大的盈余是3.6亿桶。 即将到来的是两倍或更多。

郝芬 译自 今日油价

原文如下：

Largest Oil Glut In History Could Force Crude Prices Even Lower

The oil market is heading for the largest ever crude glut in the first half of 2020, which could be two to nearly four times bigger than the biggest surplus recorded so far, IHS Markit says, as quoted by Bloomberg.

The glut in H1 2020 could reach between 800 million barrels and a staggering 1.3 billion barrels, more than two and up to nearly four times larger than the previous biggest glut of 360 million barrels in late 2015-early 2016, according to IHS Markit.

The largest-ever glut is coming as oil demand is slumping due to the coronavirus pandemic and former allies Saudi Arabia and Russia promising to flood the market with oil as they are in an all-out price war for market share.

The last time that there was a global surplus of this magnitude was never,” Jim Burkhard, vice president and head of oil markets at IHS Markit, said, as carried by Bloomberg.

“Prior to this the largest six-month global surplus this century was 360 million barrels. What is coming will be twice that or more.”