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| 2020-04-15 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据CNBC网站4月14日消息：油价周二小幅走低，投资者显然不相信创纪录的减产能很快平衡疫情冲击的市场，不过美国页岩油产量预计将大幅下降也为市场提供了一些支撑。 格林威治时间10点45分，布伦特原油期货下跌8美分，至每桶31.66美元，跌幅0.3%，周一收盘上涨0.8%。美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)下跌36美分，至22.05美元，跌幅1.6%，前一交易日下跌1.5%。 在复活节期间，石油输出国组织、俄罗斯和其他产油国同意在5月和6月将石油日产量缩减970万桶，相当于疫情爆发前全球供应量的10%左右。 全球最大的产油国美国和欧佩克+以外的其他国家将进一步减产，估计减产总量将达到约1,950万桶/日。 法国巴黎银行分析师Harry Tchilinguirian表示，" 石油输出国组织的自愿减产对油价的有益支撑，不能完全抵消减产所导致的需求减少。" Tchilinguirian补充说，降价充其量只能为短期内的价格提供下限。 今年油价仍下跌了50％以上。 里斯泰德能源公司石油市场主管Bjornar Tonhaugen表示,该国际协议的实施将是一项挑战，至少需要数周时间。 “减少上游供应量并不只是关掉水龙头或按下按钮。我们会惊讶地看到，到5月底，欧佩克的整体遵守率将达到50%。”他说。 即使20国集团中的一些国家已同意购买石油作为国家储备，但石油库存预计仍将迅速增加。 尽管如此，美国的产量仍在随着价格的下降而下降，而且有迹象表明，疫情在世界某些地区可能已经见顶。 美国能源情报署(EIA)周一表示，受油价支撑，美国4月页岩油产量月度降幅创历史新高。 EIA称，几个月来美国产量一直在下滑，但预计4月份的下降速度将急剧加快，日产量将减少近20万桶。 冯娟 摘译自 CNBC 原文如下： Oil slips as producer cuts fail to banish demand fears Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, with investors apparently unconvinced that record supply cuts could soon balance markets pummeled by the coronavirus pandemic, though a predicted plunge in U.S. shale output provided some support. Brent futures fell 8 cents, or 0.3%, to $31.66 a barrel by 1045 GMT after settling 0.8% up on Monday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down 36 cents, or 1.6%, at $22.05, having dropped 1.5% in the previous session. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), along with Russia and other producing countries - a grouping known as OPEC+ - agreed over Easter to cut output by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in May and June, equating to about 10% of global supply before the coronavirus outbreak. Additional output cuts by the United States, the world’s biggest producer, and other nations outside the OPEC+ group will take the estimated total reduction to about 19.5 million bpd. “The voluntary OPEC+ cuts are a welcome support to oil prices, but they do not fully offset the loss of demand related to COVID-19, and they still need to be fully implemented in a timely fashion,” BNP Paribas analyst Harry Tchilinguirian told the Reuters Global Oil Forum. The cuts at best provide a floor under prices in the short term, Tchilinguirian added. Oil prices remain more than 50% down this year. Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets, Bjornar Tonhaugen, said that implementation of the international deal would be a logistical challenge that would take weeks at least. “Reducing upstream supply is not just turning off the tap or pushing a button. We would be surprised to see overall OPEC+ compliance at 50% through May,” he said. Inventories, where available, are expected to fill up fast even as some countries among the G20 group of nations agreed to buy oil for their national reserves. Still, U.S. production is falling in tandem with a drop in prices and there are signs that the coronavirus outbreak may have peaked in some areas of the world. Supporting prices, U.S. shale oil output is expected to register a record monthly drop in April, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Monday. Production has been sliding for several months, but the declines are expected to accelerate sharply in April with a loss of nearly 200,000 bpd of production, the EIA said. |
