油价小幅走高

中国石化新闻网讯 据4月14日Energy Voice报道，投资者在权衡全球最大产油国减产协议是否足以抵消需求缺口后，油价重新升至每桶近23美元。

纽约期货价格上涨1.1%，有望实现三个交易日以来的首次上涨。沙特能源部长周一对记者表示，若有需要，沙特准备在6月份的欧佩克+联盟再次召开会议时进一步削减供应。

5月至6月的价差进一步扩大，这表明即使有限制措施，现货供应过剩仍在扩大。欧佩克从5月份开始减产970万桶/天的协议，是历史上最大的减产规模，但与石油消费大幅下降相比，仍相形见绌。

自2月中旬以来，石油价格一直在直线下跌。航空燃油、汽油等燃料消费暴跌，随着全球需求的骤降，沙特阿拉伯正寻求通过降低其销往亚洲和地中海地区的所有油品的价格，来保持其石油竞争力。

Oanda亚太地区高级市场分析师Jeffrey Halley表示:"我认为，在2021年之前，石油消费水平将无法恢复到以前的水平，虽然已出现了许多利好消息。即使在经济暂时恢复运转之后，欧佩克仍将面临相当大的挑战，来使其供应与石油的实际需求相匹配。”

纽约商品交易所(New York Mercantile Exchange) 5月份交割的西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨24美分，至每桶22.65美元，此前涨幅高达3%。该合约周一下跌1.5%。ICE欧洲期货交易所(ICE Futures Europe exchange) 6月份交货的布伦特原油期货价格周一上涨0.8%，至每桶32.21美元，上涨1.5%。

沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子在电话会议上表示，只有欧佩克其他成员国相应减产，沙特阿拉伯才会进一步削减原油产量。他警告称，石油需求破坏预测可能过于悲观，因此或许不需要进一步减产。

德州石油监管机构定于周二讨论针对油价暴跌采取的供应限制措施，但毕马威国际认为减产的可能性不大。德克萨斯州的石油产量仅次于沙特阿拉伯，超过了所有欧佩克成员国。

王佳晶 摘译自 Energy Voice

原文如下：

Oil edges higher as market weighs output cuts against demand

Oil resumed gains to near $23 a barrel as investors weigh whether a deal by the world’s biggest producers to reduce output will be enough to offset the demand destruction caused by the coronavirus.

Futures added 1.1% in New York, on track for its first advance in three sessions. Saudi Arabia’s energy minister told reporters on Monday that the kingdom is ready to trim supply further if needed when the OPEC+ alliance meets again in June.

The May-June timespread moved deeper into contango, signaling an expanding physical glut even with the curbs. The OPEC+ agreement to slash production by 9.7 million barrels a day starting in May amounts to the largest coordinated cut in history, but is still dwarfed by the much greater decline in oil consumption.

Oil has been in freefall since the middle of February after nation’s across the world went into lockdown to try to stop the virus from spreading, curbing consumption of everything from jet fuel to gasoline. As global demand vanishes, Saudi Arabia is seeking to keep its barrels competitive by reducing prices for all its grades to Asia and the Mediterranean region.

“I can’t see a return to previous consumption levels for oil until 2021 and a lot of the good news is already built in,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at Oanda. “Even after the tentative reopening of economies, it is still going to be quite challenging for OPEC to match their supply to the actual demand for oil.”

West Texas Intermediate for May delivery rose 24 cents to $22.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 12:27 p.m. Singapore time after increasing as much as 3% earlier. The contract declined 1.5% on Monday. Brent for June delivery gained 1.5% to $32.21 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after climbing 0.8% on Monday.

Saudi Arabia would only cut its crude output further if others within OPEC+ reduced their production accordingly, Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on a conference call. He cautioned that the more bearish forecasts for oil demand destruction may be too pessimistic, and therefore the alliance may not need to make deeper cuts.

Texas oil regulators are scheduled Tuesday to discuss supply restrictions in response to the price crash, but KPMG International sees a low probability that cuts will be instituted. Texas pumps more oil than every OPEC member except Saudi Arabia.