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| 2020-10-26 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据石油新闻迪拜报道，阿曼财政部10月19日在一份主权债券发行说明书中表示，阿曼原油生产时下正面临长期放缓，未来原油储量增加有限。 这份10月19日在金融机构之间传阅和标普全球普氏能源咨询看到的文件称，阿曼生产油田的成熟意味着，如果原油价格持续低迷一段时间，阿曼原油出口的增加可能无法扭转收入的减少。 主权债券发行说明书称，“阿曼未来原油储量的增加通常预计将局限于提高原油采收率技术的成功实施。” “因此，如果这样的技术没有得到应用，或者这样的技术被证明成本过高(特别是在油价低的情况下)，或者无法帮助增加油气储量，那么阿曼原油生产的长期放缓可能会变得更有可能。” 欧佩克以外中东地区最大原油生产国阿曼正准备出售高达40亿美元的3年期、7年期和12年期债券，这些债券的收益将用于填补政府财政的缺口。 原油和天然气活动是阿曼的主要收入来源，占到2019年阿曼政府收入的76%。 根据主权债券发行说明书，截至2019年底，阿曼的原油和凝析油储量估计在48亿桶油当量，按2019年的水平计算，阿曼的原油储量还可以连续生产25-30年。 去年阿曼原油和凝析油的平均日产量为97.09万桶，天然气平均日产量为1.22亿立方米。 然而，如果低油价持续一段时间，阿曼可能不得不取消或缩减增产计划或未来的油气生产开发。 主权债券发行说明书说，如果生产假设依赖更具挑战性的方法，或者致密油或天然气的开采存在技术限制，那么实际可开采储量将低于目前的估计，这种情况就尤为明显。 根据欧佩克与10个盟国达成的一项供应协议，阿曼已大幅削减了本国原油产量，今年年底前其原油配额为每日72.2万桶。欧佩克+减产协议旨在对抗COVID-19造成的需求破坏。 鉴于疫情影响以及由此导致的油价下跌，阿曼国家预算已进行修订，预计今年收入将减少85亿里亚尔(220亿美元)，支出减少132亿里亚尔，而赤字为42亿里亚尔。 李峻 编译自 石油新闻 原文如下： Oman says may struggle to grow oil reserves and production Oman is facing a long-term slowdown in oil production, with limited future growth in reserves, its ministry of finance said in a prospectus for a sovereign bond issue. The document, circulated among financial institutions on Oct. 19 and seen by S&P Global Platts, said the maturity of Oman's producing fields meant that increasing oil exports may not reverse dwindling revenues, should crude prices continue to be depressed for a prolonged period. "Future growth in reserves is generally expected to be limited to successful implementation of enhanced oil recovery techniques," the prospectus said. "As a result, if there is any failure to make use of such techniques, or if such techniques prove excessively costly (particularly in the context of low oil prices) or fail to help grow oil and gas reserves, a long-term slowdown in oil production may become more likely." Oman, the largest Middle East oil producer outside of OPEC, is gearing up to sell up to $4 billion in three-, seven-and 12-year bonds whose proceeds will be used to plug a shortfall in government finances. Oil and gas activities are Oman's principal revenue source, accounting for about 76% of government revenue in 2019. Oman's crude and condensate reserves, as of the end of 2019, were estimated at 4.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent, allowing for 25-30 years of crude production at 2019 levels, according to the prospectus. Oman averaged crude and condensate production of 970,900 b/d in 2019, as well as gas production of 122 million cu m/d. However, if low oil prices continued for an extended period, Oman may have to cancel or scale back planned or future development of oil and gas production. That is especially true where production assumptions rely on more challenging methods or have technological constraints on the extraction of tight oil or gas, which in turn would lead to actual, extractable reserves being less than current estimates, the prospectus said. Oman has scaled back its production significantly under a supply accord between OPEC and 10 allies to combat the demand destruction caused by COVID-19, with its crude quota at 722,000 b/d until the end of the year. In light of the impact of COVID-19 and resultant decline in oil prices, the national budget has been revised with lower revenue of Riyal 8.5 billion ($22 billion) expected, as well as lower expenditures of Riyals 13.2 billion, leaving a deficit of Riyals 4.2 billion. |
