欧佩克石油收入下滑46%

中国石化新闻网讯 据11月4日Khaleej Times消息：疫情导致的石油需求低迷、价格暴跌和创纪录的减产，将使欧佩克成员国的石油净出口收入减少2720亿美元，与2019年相比，今年下降了45.7%。

据美国能源信息署(EIA)估计，石油输出国组织(欧佩克)所有15个成员国今年的石油净出口收入为3230亿美元，为18年来的最低水平。

EIA的估计与国际货币基金组织(IMF) 7月份的预测一致，后者预计中东和北非石油出口国的石油总收入在2020年将减少2700亿美元。

欧佩克2019年的石油净出口收入为5950亿美元，不到2012年最高历史纪录1.2万亿美元的一半。EIA预计，由于持续性的自愿减产和低油价，欧佩克2020年的石油净出口收入将下降。

报告称:“2020年财政收入的持续下降可能会对成员国的财政预算造成不利影响，这些国家的财政预算严重依赖石油销售收入来进口商品、资助社会项目和支持公共服务。”

2019年，基准布伦特原油的平均价格为64美元，低于2018年每桶71美元的年平均价格。EIA预测今年布伦特原油均价为每桶41美元，较去年下跌逾20美元。欧佩克的产量也因减产而下降。

EIA预计，2020年欧佩克日均石油产量为3070万桶，比2019年的3450万桶下降390万桶。

与此同时，欧佩克与俄罗斯的能源对话表示，平衡稳定的石油市场是疫情后复苏、充足投资以及消费者和生产者未来繁荣的先决条件。

冯娟 摘译自 Khaleej Times

原文如下：

Opec oil revenues to slide 46% to $272B, weakest in 18 years

The pandemic-induced low oil demand, price crash and record production cuts are set to slash the net oil export revenues of Opec members by $272 billion, a 45.7 per cent drop this year compared to 2019.

Combined, all 15 members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries are estimated to earn about $323 billion in net oil export revenues this year, the lowest level in 18 years, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

The EIA’s estimate is at par with the forecast by that International Monetary Fund in July that oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa were set to see their total oil revenues to plunge $270 billion in 2020.

Opec earned an estimated $595 billion in net oil export revenues in 2019, less than half of the estimated record high of $1.2 trillion, which was earned in 2012. The EIA expects a decline in net oil export revenue for Opec in 2020 because of continued voluntary curtailments and low crude oil prices.

“Continued declines in revenue in 2020 could be detrimental to member countries’ fiscal budgets, which rely heavily on revenues from oil sales to import goods, fund social programmes, and support public services,” it said.

In 2019, benchmark Brent averaged $64, down from the annual average price of $71 in 2018. The average price of Brent the EIA expects this year is $41 per barrel, down by more than $20 a barrel compared to last year. Production from Opec is also down due to the cuts.

The EIA expects Opec’s oil output to average 30.7 million bpd in 2020, down by 3.9 million bpd, compared to the average oil production of 34.5 million bpd in 2019.

Opec-Russia dialogue

Meanwhile, an Opec-Russia energy dialogue said a balanced and stable oil market is a prerequisite for post-pandemic recovery, adequate investments and future prosperity for consumers and producers alike.

The meeting was co-chaired by Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo, secretary-general of Opec, and Alexander Novak, minister of energy of the Russian Federation.

The energy dialogue continues to play a key role in reinforcing and enhancing the relationship between the two parties, which was underscored in the discussions at the meeting.

Barkindo said the partnership with the Russian Federation “has evolved into a permanent, transformative force-for-good in the energy market; one that has had a profoundly positive effect on the industry and the global economy”.

Novak noted the high significance that the Russian Federation places on the dialogue with Opec. He also highlighted the secretariat’s fundamental role in the success of the declaration of cooperation.

Both parties emphasised the strategic importance of the relationship between Opec and the Russian Federation.