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| 2020-11-10 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据石油新闻休斯敦报道，美国原油出口4周移动平均线日前降到了6月中旬以来的最低水平。美国2021年原油出口将继续下滑。 美国能源信息署（EIA）11月4日公布的统计数据显示，美国原油日出口量在10月30日结束的那周里下降了119.5万桶，下降到了226.5万桶，这是今年1月3日以来最大的周跌幅。 统计数据显示，美国不仅原油出口量在10月30日结束的那周里显著下降，而且原油出口4周移动平均线下降到了272.4万桶/天，这是自今年6月19日结束的那周以来的最低水平，当时4周移动平均线为271.3万桶/天。 截至10月25日的4周移动平均值(341.5万桶/天) 比去年同期低了大约70万桶/天。 展望未来，美国原油出口在2021年将继续下降，原因是美国页岩油产量下降导致可供应的原油数量减少。 2021年美国的原油产量将比今年的水平低120万桶/天，比2019年的平均水平低200万桶/天。原油产量的下降预计将导致明年美国每周的原油平均出口量降至210万桶/天左右。 李峻 编译自 石油新闻 原文如下： US crude exports plummet nearly 1.2 million b/d on week, four-week-average lowest since June Four-week moving average of US crude exports lowest since mid-June Exports expected to continue to decline in 2021 US crude exports for the week ended on Oct. 30 fell by 1.195 million b/d to 2.265 million b/d, the biggest week-on-week fall since Jan. 3, when exports were reported to have fallen nearly 1.4 million b/d from the week prior, according to the US Energy Information Administration Nov. 4. Not only were exports significantly lower on the week, but crude exports four-week moving average sunk to 2.724 million b/d, the lowest level since the period ended on Jun. 19, when the four-week moving average was at 2.713 million b/d. Compared to the same time last year, the four-week moving average is around 700,000 b/d lower than the four-week moving average of 3.415 million b/d for the period ended on Oct. 25. Looking ahead, Analytics expects US crude exports to remain around current levels through November, before continuing to fall in 2021 as declining US shale production results in fewer barrels being available. Analytics forecasts 2021 US production to be 1.2 million b/d lower during 2021 from 2020 levels, and 2 million b/d lower than the 2019 average. This fall in production is expected to result in weekly exports falling to around 2.1 million b/d on average through 2021. |
